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PDF-English Journal-18 July 2025-No23
Senator Jim Risch, Chair of the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee, emphasised that “the Islamic Republic’s nuclear programme has suffered serious damage and poses no immediate threat to the United States.” He warned, however, that “if there is another attempt to build a bomb, the same scenario will be repeated.”
Before the JCPOA (the Iran nuclear deal), the regime held a strong card in its hand: accelerating uranium enrichment. Enrichment levels had reached over 60%, edging closer to the final stages. This constant threat loomed over the heads of negotiating governments—if the enriched uranium reached weapons-grade, they would soon be dealing with a nuclear-armed regime.
According to military experts, the Islamic Republic’s nuclear ambitions have been pushed back by years. The uranium card is no longer readily playable in the regime’s power game. At present, the Islamic Republic holds no credible or dangerous cards and finds itself in its worst international position in years.
Still, the policy of foreign governments during this particular phase is not one of maximum pressure and full isolation. They are neither severing diplomatic ties nor moving seriously to designate the IRGC as a terrorist organisation. Their aim is to contain the regime’s nuclear, missile, and proxy capabilities.
Nevertheless, the Islamic Republic’s hand has rarely been so empty. A defeated army of regional proxies lingers uselessly at its side, while within Iran, an army the size of its society lies in wait—ready to ignite a movement even larger and more widespread than the Woman, Life, Freedom uprising.
Editor: Patty Debonitas
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